UK falls into recession – POLITICO

Though some analysts expect the recession to be temporary, the figures deal a blow to efforts by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to paint a rosier picture of the economy in what is expected to be an election year.

On Tuesday, Sunak told business executives that the U.K. economy had “turned a corner” and was being widely forecast to grow in 2024.

According to the ONS, the downturn at the close of 2023 was broad-based, led by a 1.3 percent fall in construction and followed by manufacturing and services, with a slowing in recreational activities and auto purchases. U.K. trade and household consumption also struggled.

Business investment increased by 1.4 percent.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has downplayed fears of a prolonged recession, telling the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee on Wednesday that he expected a “modest pick-up” to take place later in the year.

“The U.K. economy is likely to continue to flirt with recession for most of this year,” Marc Ostwald, chief economist at ADM Services International, said.

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