Pollsters for former President Donald Trump warned Saturday in a memo that they foresaw an extended honeymoon for Vice President Kamala Harris just days after the Democratic National Convention wrapped.
CNN reported Trump pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Travis Tunis predicted Harris would see a temporary “bounce” in public polling after Harris accepted her party’s nomination for president on Thursday night in Chicago.
“Post-DNC we will likely see another small (albeit temporary) bounce for Harris in the public polls. Post-Convention bounces are a phenomenon that happens after most party conventions,” the memo read. “So don’t be surprised to see Harris get a temporary 2 to 3 point bump. The other thing to keep in mind is that while the media is going to focus on the national polls, we need to keep our eye on the ball – that is the polling in our target states. Our goal is to get to 270 (Electoral College votes) and winning these states is how we do it.”
CNN further reported:
In July, Fabrizio wrote he expected a “honeymoon” period for Harris after she replaced President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket – a prediction that has certainly come to pass. Before ending his re-election campaign, Biden’s support in CNN Poll of Polls registered at 45%, behind Trump at 49%. Heading into the convention, the race had shifted, with Harris at 50% and Trump at 48%, the CNN Poll of Polls found. Fabrizio now anticipates the honeymoon for Harris extending, blaming it largely on favorable media coverage of the vice president.
The current RealClearPolitics average finds Harris with a 1.5 percent advantage nationally against Trump. None of the polls in the aggregator’s average were conducted after the convention.
FiveThirtyEight had Harris leading Trump 47.2 percent to 43.6 percent Saturday.
Trump had spent weeks struggling to jumpstart a campaign in limbo since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race last month and endorsed Harris. Friday, the former president picked up the support of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
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