THE SNP could be reduced to just 7 MPs, according to new polling which suggests the party could be in for a brutal election night.
In contrast, Labour could bolster their number by 40 MPs – a huge increase on the last election in 2019 during which they won just a single seat in Scotland.
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Pollsters Redfield & Wilton Strategies asked 1,000 people here between June 1 and June 2 how they plan to vote in the general election on July 4.
It gave Labour a 10 point lead with 39 per cent, ahead of the SNP on 29 per cent, while the Tories were up three points to 17 per cent, with the Lib Dems on 8 per cent of the vote.
The results of the poll represent a massive change in fortunes for Labour, who came third here in 2019 with 19 per cent of the vote and just one MP – behind the Tories with 25 per cent and the SNP on 45 per cent, with the party returning 48 MPs.
Polling expert Mark Diffley responded: “If this happened, we would need to be strongly considering an additional factor in this election – Labour picking a few seats from the Tories in areas which were considered previously as Tory/SNP contests.”
The study found that only 50 per cent of Scottish voters who backed the party five years ago would do so again this year, while 27 per cent would vote Labour.
And 18 per cent of people in Scotland who voted for the Tories back in 2019 say they would now vote for Labour.
Meanwhile, 49 per cent of respondents to the poll said they would vote no if asked whether Scotland should become an independent country, with 46 per cent saying they would vote yes.
It comes just a day after a separate poll predicted the SNP could lose 31 seats – leaving them with 17 MPs.
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The huge YouGov poll, which involved 53,334 people across the UK, suggested that Labour are on course for a historic landslide victory, with Sir Keir Starmer entering Downing Street with 422 MPs and a 194-seat majority.
In Scotland, it would see 34 Labour MPs elected, with the possibility of the SNP being wiped out by their rivals in Glasgow.
A YouGov spokesman said: “Even for an election with such a dramatic change in the composition of the House of Commons, the churn in Scotland is very large.
“Of Scotland’s 57 seats, 35 seats are changing hands according to our model – 61 per cent of all seats. This compares to 41 per cent of seats in England.
“Scotland is also notably more marginal than England. On average, the winning party’s lead is eight points in Scotland compared to 23-points in England. Twenty seats, more than a third of the total, are toss-ups.”
