The Emmys 2024 may wind up looking an awful lot like the delayed 2023 Emmys that took place in January, in that three front-runner shows seem all but certain to sweep the awards in the drama, comedy, and limited-series categories. The last time Emmys were handed out, those separate factions were ruled by Succession, The Bear, and Beef, respectively. This time around, The Bear should still come out on top in comedy (even if its recent third season, ineligible for the 2024 Emmys, has dampened enthusiasm for the series somewhat)—but drama will be dominated by the FX epic Shōgun, which enters the night having received a cool 25 total Emmy nominations. In fact, Shōgun already won 14 of those awards at the Creative Arts Emmys, making its further command feel like a forgone conclusion.
We’re predicting wins for Shōgun in best drama as well as both best actor in a drama (Hiroyuki Sanada for playing the imposing feudal leader Lord Yoshii Toranaga) and best actress in a drama (Anna Sawai for her role as the deceptively placid Lady Mariko). It’s an Emmy hat trick that could well be matched by the night’s likely big winner in the limited-series categories: Baby Reindeer, a surprise Netflix hit written by and starring Scottish comedian Richard Gadd. Gadd himself is nominated in both corresponding categories; he’s almost certain to win one of them, if not both. And the dark comedy’s leading lady, Jessica Gunning—competing here in the supporting-actress category, even though her character, the stalker Martha, is the engine of Baby Reindeer—should expect to beat out big names like Dakota Fanning, Diane Lane, and Lily Gladstone for an Emmy of her own.
As for The Bear? Well, Emmy voters unreservedly loved its second season, which they’ll be awarding tonight; the FX comedy earned 23 Emmy nods this year, second only to its network mate Shōgun. We should see star Jeremy Allen White take home a second consecutive best-actor-in-a-comedy prize; the bigger question is whether his costar Ayo Edebiri, who’s moved this year from supporting to lead actress, can come out on top in a tough field that also includes returning winners Quinta Brunson (of Abbott Elementary) and Jean Smart, the arguable front-runner in the category for her career-defining work in Hacks.
So who will come out on top? Watch along as the Primetime Emmy Awards unfold, and keep refreshing this page for a list of winners we’ll be updating in real time.
TALK SERIES
WINNER: The Daily Show
Jimmy Kimmel Live!
Late Night With Seth Meyers
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert
WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Hacks — Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, and Jen Statsky for “Bulletproof”
Abbott Elementary — Quinta Brunson for “Career Day”
The Bear — Christopher Storer and Joanna Calo for “Fishes”
Girls5eva — Meredith Scardino and Sam Means for “Orlando”
The Other Two — Chris Kelly and Sarah Schneider for “Brooke Hosts a Night of Undeniable Good”
What We Do in the Shadows — Jake Bender and Zach Dunn for “Pride Parade”
DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES
WINNER: Ripley — Steven Zaillian
Baby Reindeer — Weronika Tofilska for “Episode 4”
Fargo — Noah Hawley for “The Tragedy of the Commons”
Feud: Capote vs. the Swans — Gus Van Sant for “Pilot”
Lessons in Chemistry — Millicent Shelton for “Poirot”
True Detective: Night Country — Issa López
SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES
WINNER: Last Week Tonight With John Oliver
Saturday Night Live
SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE
WINNER: Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer
Dakota Fanning, Ripley
Lily Gladstone, Under the Bridge
Aja Naomi King, Lessons in Chemistry
Diane Lane, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans
Nava Mau, Baby Reindeer
Kali Reis, True Detective: Night Country
REALITY COMPETITION PROGRAM
WINNER: The Traitors
The Amazing Race
RuPaul’s Drag Race
Top Chef
The Voice
ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Jean Smart, Hacks
Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary
Ayo Edebiri, The Bear
Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building
Maya Rudolph, Loot
Kristen Wiig, Palm Royale
SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
WINNER: Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown
Christine Baranski, The Gilded Age
Nicole Beharie, The Morning Show
Greta Lee, The Morning Show
Lesley Manville, The Crown
Karen Pittman, The Morning Show
Holland Taylor, The Morning Show
SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Liza Colón-Zayas, The Bear
Carol Burnett, Palm Royale
Hannah Einbinder, Hacks
Janelle James, Abbott Elementary
Sheryl Lee Ralph, Abbott Elementary
Meryl Streep, Only Murders in the Building
ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Jeremy Allen White, The Bear
Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows
Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building
Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building
D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, Reservation Dogs
SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
WINNER: Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
Tadanobu Asano, Shōgun
Mark Duplass, The Morning Show
Jon Hamm, The Morning Show
Takehiro Hira, Shōgun
Jack Lowden, Slow Horses
Jonathan Pryce, The Crown
SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
WINNER: Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear
Lionel Boyce, The Bear
Paul W. Downs, Hacks
Paul Rudd, Only Murders in the Building
Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary
Bowen Yang, Saturday Night Live
Listen to Vanity Fair’s Little Gold Men podcast now.
